# Carlton v Western Bulldogs — AFL Round 10 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Carlton v Western Bulldogs
Sat, 16 May, 07:35 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 10

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Western Bulldogs to win @ $1.55 (edge -8.1%) — model probability 56.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Carlton +12.5 @ $1.90 (edge +20.4%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Carlton 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 187.5 @ $1.89 (edge +2.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Carlton by 8 · Predicted total: 184

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Carlton | Stat | Western Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 83.2pts | Avg Score | 71.2pts |
| 102.6pts | Avg Conceded | 109.4pts |
| -19.4pts | Avg Margin | -38.2pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Carlton | R5 L · R6 L · R7 L · R8 L · R9 L | 83.2 |
| Western Bulldogs | R5 L · R6 L · R7 L · R8 L · R9 W | 71.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r10-carlton-v-western-bulldogs
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
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Last updated: 2026-06-27 21:10 UTC