# Adelaide Crows v North Melbourne — AFL Round 10 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Adelaide Crows v North Melbourne
Sat, 16 May, 01:15 pm AEST · Adelaide Oval · Round 10

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Adelaide Crows to win @ $1.44 (edge -18.7%) — model probability 50.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** North Melbourne +15.5 @ $1.90 (edge +16.7%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** North Melbourne 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 178.5 @ $1.89 (edge +2.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: North Melbourne by 1 · Predicted total: 186

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Adelaide Crows | Stat | North Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 93.2pts | Avg Score | 95.4pts |
| 90.2pts | Avg Conceded | 98.4pts |
| 3.0pts | Avg Margin | -3.0pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Crows | R5 W · R6 W · R7 L · R8 W · R9 W | 93.2 |
| North Melbourne | R5 L · R6 W · R7 L · R8 L · R9 L | 95.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r10-adelaide-crows-v-north-melbourne
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-27 21:14 UTC