# Sydney Swans v Brisbane Lions — AFL Round 1 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Sydney Swans v Brisbane Lions
Sat, 14 Mar, 07:10 pm AEDT · SCG · Round 1

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Sydney Swans to win @ $1.38 (edge -17.9%) — model probability 54.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Brisbane Lions +18.5 @ $1.90 (edge -17.9%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Sydney Swans 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 188.5 @ $1.87 (edge +1.5%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sydney Swans by 5 · Predicted total: 168

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r1-sydney-swans-v-brisbane-lions
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-04 07:39 UTC