# Melbourne v St Kilda — AFL Round 1 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Melbourne v St Kilda
Sun, 15 Mar, 03:15 pm AEDT · MCG · Round 1

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Melbourne to win @ $2.45 (edge +46.5%) — model probability 87.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Melbourne +10.5 @ $1.90 (edge +46.5%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Melbourne 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 179.5 @ $1.87 (edge +1.5%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Melbourne by 31 · Predicted total: 170

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r1-melbourne-v-st-kilda
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-04 11:33 UTC