# Essendon v Hawthorn — AFL Round 1 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Essendon v Hawthorn
Fri, 13 Mar, 07:40 pm AEDT · MCG · Round 1

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Essendon to win @ $4.45 (edge +52.0%) — model probability 74.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Essendon +29.5 @ $1.91 (edge +52.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Essendon 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 170.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.4%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Essendon by 34 · Predicted total: 170

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r1-essendon-v-hawthorn
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-04 07:35 UTC