# Carlton v Richmond — AFL Round 1 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Carlton v Richmond
Thu, 12 Mar, 07:30 pm AEDT · MCG · Round 1

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Carlton to win @ $1.33 (edge -24.8%) — model probability 50.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Richmond +21.5 @ $1.89 (edge -24.8%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Carlton 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 169.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.4%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Carlton by 3 · Predicted total: 169

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r1-carlton-v-richmond
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-04 08:22 UTC