# AFL Round 2 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI AFL predictions for Round 2 of the 2025 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 2 at a glance
- 8 matches · 16W–8L on 24 settled picks (67% strike rate) · best value +52.3% edge

## Round 2 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Bulldogs v Collingwood | Western Bulldogs @ $3.20 | Western Bulldogs 78% | LOST |
| St Kilda v Geelong Cats | St Kilda @ $3.50 | St Kilda 66% | WON |
| Essendon v Adelaide Crows | Adelaide Crows @ $1.47 | Adelaide Crows 88% | WON |
| Carlton v Hawthorn | Hawthorn @ $1.44 | Hawthorn 84% | WON |
| Port Adelaide v Richmond | Port Adelaide @ $1.12 | Port Adelaide 99% | WON |
| North Melbourne v Melbourne | North Melbourne @ $3.10 | North Melbourne 85% | WON |
| Fremantle v Sydney Swans | Fremantle @ $1.70 | Fremantle 75% | LOST |
| Brisbane Lions v West Coast Eagles | Brisbane Lions @ $1.02 | Brisbane Lions 99% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Western Bulldogs v Collingwood
Tue, 24 Feb, 10:45 pm AEDT · MCG · Round 2
Alphr AI win probability: Western Bulldogs 78.5% / Collingwood 21.5%
- **Head to Head:** Western Bulldogs to win @ $3.20 (edge +47.2%) — model probability 78.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Western Bulldogs +14.5 @ $1.91 (edge +47.2%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 172.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.6%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Western Bulldogs by 2 · Predicted total: 169
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2025-r2-western-bulldogs-v-collingwood

### St Kilda v Geelong Cats
Tue, 24 Feb, 10:45 pm AEDT · Marvel Stadium · Round 2
Alphr AI win probability: St Kilda 65.6% / Geelong Cats 34.4%
- **Head to Head:** St Kilda to win @ $3.50 (edge +37.1%) — model probability 65.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** St Kilda +20.5 @ $1.91 (edge +37.1%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 173.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.6%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: St Kilda by 5 · Predicted total: 172
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2025-r2-st-kilda-v-geelong-cats

### Essendon v Adelaide Crows
Tue, 24 Feb, 10:45 pm AEDT · MCG · Round 2
Alphr AI win probability: Essendon 11.5% / Adelaide Crows 88.5%
- **Head to Head:** Adelaide Crows to win @ $1.47 (edge +20.4%) — model probability 88.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Adelaide Crows +13.5 @ $1.91 (edge +20.4%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 179.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.6%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Adelaide Crows by 28 · Predicted total: 156
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2025-r2-essendon-v-adelaide-crows

### Carlton v Hawthorn
Tue, 24 Feb, 10:45 pm AEDT · MCG · Round 2
Alphr AI win probability: Carlton 16.4% / Hawthorn 83.6%
- **Head to Head:** Hawthorn to win @ $1.44 (edge +14.1%) — model probability 83.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hawthorn +15.5 @ $1.91 (edge +14.1%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 154.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.6%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hawthorn by 29 · Predicted total: 147
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2025-r2-carlton-v-hawthorn

### Port Adelaide v Richmond
Tue, 24 Feb, 10:45 pm AEDT · Adelaide Oval · Round 2
Alphr AI win probability: Port Adelaide 98.6% / Richmond 1.4%
- **Head to Head:** Port Adelaide to win @ $1.12 (edge +9.3%) — model probability 98.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Port Adelaide -40.5 @ $1.91 (edge +9.3%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 177.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.6%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Port Adelaide by 66 · Predicted total: 200
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2025-r2-port-adelaide-v-richmond

### North Melbourne v Melbourne
Tue, 24 Feb, 10:45 pm AEDT · Marvel Stadium · Round 2
Alphr AI win probability: North Melbourne 84.6% / Melbourne 15.4%
- **Head to Head:** North Melbourne to win @ $3.10 (edge +52.3%) — model probability 84.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** North Melbourne +16.5 @ $1.91 (edge +52.3%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 176.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.6%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: North Melbourne by 18 · Predicted total: 174
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2025-r2-north-melbourne-v-melbourne

### Fremantle v Sydney Swans
Tue, 24 Feb, 10:45 pm AEDT · Optus Stadium · Round 2
Alphr AI win probability: Fremantle 74.6% / Sydney Swans 25.4%
- **Head to Head:** Fremantle to win @ $1.70 (edge +15.8%) — model probability 74.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Fremantle -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +15.8%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 172.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.6%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Fremantle by 8 · Predicted total: 169
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2025-r2-fremantle-v-sydney-swans

### Brisbane Lions v West Coast Eagles
Tue, 24 Feb, 10:45 pm AEDT · Gabba · Round 2
Alphr AI win probability: Brisbane Lions 98.7% / West Coast Eagles 1.3%
- **Head to Head:** Brisbane Lions to win @ $1.02 (edge +60.0%) — model probability 98.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Brisbane Lions -62.5 @ $1.91 (edge +60.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 181.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.6%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Brisbane Lions by 70 · Predicted total: 183
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2025-r2-brisbane-lions-v-west-coast-eagles

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 81.9% | 177/216 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 76.9% | 166/216 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 60.2% | 130/216 |

## More AFL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/afl/2025/round/1 (markdown: /afl/2025/round/1.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/afl/2025/round/3 (markdown: /afl/2025/round/3.md)
- All AFL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/afl (markdown: /afl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/2025/round/2
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-04 07:33 UTC